Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.373816 0.434842 0.502271 0.582243 0.674455 0.777393 0.900980
2025-03-30 0.264074 0.343311 0.440485 0.568168 0.731275 0.932411 1.199052
2025-04-06 0.202479 0.285257 0.394686 0.549410 0.762002 1.043265 1.443043
2025-04-13 0.162081 0.243970 0.359105 0.531962 0.783981 1.136957 1.667694
2025-04-20 0.138966 0.221496 0.343864 0.537298 0.834001 1.270241 1.958285
2025-04-27 0.126615 0.212313 0.345492 0.565806 0.919151 1.461241 2.352681
2025-05-04 0.114109 0.200516 0.340736 0.582586 0.986639 1.631058 2.731829
2025-05-11 0.101741 0.186810 0.330563 0.588364 1.035752 1.775462 3.084286
2025-05-18 0.089990 0.172251 0.316683 0.585399 1.068702 1.895257 3.406741
2025-05-25 0.079346 0.158027 0.301303 0.577343 1.090929 1.997794 3.708521
2025-06-01 0.070818 0.146470 0.289082 0.573092 1.118707 2.111597 4.040252
2025-06-08 0.061715 0.132448 0.270374 0.554062 1.116305 2.169813 4.275097
2025-06-15 0.059800 0.132865 0.279920 0.591646 1.227667 2.452286 4.964840
2025-06-22 0.052539 0.121091 0.263753 0.575940 1.232657 2.533750 5.277927
2025-06-29 0.045971 0.109812 0.247072 0.556865 1.228152 2.595384 5.557035
2025-07-06 0.040405 0.099930 0.232016 0.539185 1.224109 2.656773 5.840861
2025-07-13 0.037292 0.095273 0.227770 0.544591 1.270048 2.825397 6.365202
2025-07-20 0.036128 0.095115 0.233633 0.573471 1.370930 3.119911 7.188229
2025-07-27 0.034237 0.092879 0.234366 0.590471 1.446644 3.367092 7.931709
2025-08-03 0.031836 0.088985 0.230637 0.596324 1.496979 3.562691 8.578507
2025-08-10 0.029186 0.084033 0.223667 0.593321 1.525695 3.711673 9.132372
2025-08-17 0.026543 0.078707 0.215072 0.585159 1.540831 3.830474 9.627017
2025-08-24 0.024353 0.074311 0.208311 0.580853 1.565014 3.972780 10.191433